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March 14, 2018 Analogs are based off last year. Double weight to 1951 and 2006 2014 added as SSTs are the closest match. Next update with an impact map will…

Social Media: Tornado Safety #SpringSafety Please help the National Weather Service spread these important safety messages on social media! Everyone is welcome to use the text and images provided below…

Severe storms including at least one tornado slammed Alabama’s Jacksonville State University on Monday night, as state troopers said the damage left the city looking like a “war zone.” Strong…

The euro is lining up an analog idea. Remember when we laid this out back in Feb, the analogs we showed said to watch for this have another fit of…

It’s one of the most misunderstood terms in all of the weather, the chance of rain. You hear it and see it in just about every weather forecast nowadays, but…

With the dip in the SOI, storminess will increase and snow will occur but note until the SSW induced tanking of the AO and then NAO, it will be messy…

There is much to talk about this morning First of all the European ensembles which earlier in the week had a warm looking 10-15 ( still do) have a cold…

Some recent SSWs – 2009. and 2001. AO is drifting down. It should accelerate. the GEFS sees the normal -AO temperature anomalies across the hemisphere. The 16 day GFS shows…

So we go from this on the 00z turn from Wednesday evening that the entire weekly package was based on For 00z Friday Feb 16 to this at 12z yesterday…

This looks like the ANTILOG to what we look for to get warmth over the eastern U.S. The model run is very warm and bearish, once past the front 10…

It is hard to believe this kind of flip in the model, given the analogs and the actual weather in the source regions which argue for the opposite. I would…

GWO was cited by media as the only organization correctly predicting last year’s Atlantic hurricane season and destructive landfalls OCALA, FLA. (PRWEB) JANUARY 18, 2018 Global Weather Oscillations (GWO) was…

I like the storm next week, The models have a problem that most likely will affect the US model more in that the real storm will be the second piece…

Many who normally ‘call for’ oil delivery are still struggling to keep the furnaces going. Oil and propane companies were not prepared for the cold. NOAA had forecast a better…

Back in December we saw warming in the stratosphere develop in the western arctic and Alaska. By the holiday it enveloped northwest North America and the western arctic and had…

Exposure to winter’s dry, cold air and chilly rain, sleet and snow can cause chapped paws and itchy, flaking skin, but these aren’t the only discomforts pets can suffer. Winter…

A dangerously cold and massive arctic air mass dominates tNorth America east of the Continental Divide. Anomalies are almost off the scale as people prepare for New Year’s festivities. Temperatures…

It is another frigid morning int the Great Lakes and Northeast states. As we showed in the region update, Lake Effect has really kicked in with a record snow blitz…

The period Dec 21-Jan 10 will be the coldest 20 day period centered on the New Years since 2000-2001 for the nation as a whole. This has been my missive…

When was the last time in December people were fired up about the rest of the winter? We continue to see links to 95-96. The SST has cooled in the…